Kennedy Agyapong Leads in Latest NPP Presidential Primaries Polls — Dr. Evans Duah Report Reveals
Accra, October 20, 2025 — A new independent survey conducted between September 22 and October 5, 2025, has shown Hon. Kennedy Ohene Agyapong maintaining a strong lead ahead of the New Patriotic Party (NPP) presidential primaries scheduled for January 2026.
The findings were presented by Dr. Evans Duah, a strategist and economist, at a press briefing held at the British Council in Accra, under the theme “A Case Study of the NPP Presidential Primaries — September-October 2025 Polls.”
According to Dr. Duah, the survey sampled 26,150 delegates, representing 4.76% of the total delegate population of 204,893, across all 16 regions. The research, which followed up on an earlier August baseline, was conducted under strict ethical and methodological standards, with a 95% confidence level and a ±0.66% margin of error.
“This poll is not predictive but a snapshot of delegate sentiments at a particular period,” Dr. Duah clarified, emphasizing transparency and quality assurance measures adopted during the process.
Key Findings
In the worst-case scenario (based on direct delegate responses):
Hon. Kennedy Agyapong — 44.11% (up from 41.73% in August)
Dr. Mahamudu Bawumia — 39.51% (up slightly from 39.09%)
Dr. Bryan Acheampong — 6.28% (down from 11.64%)
Dr. Yaw Osei Adutwum — 3.19% (up from 2.71%)
Engineer Kwabena Agyei Agyapong — 0.86% (up from 0.34%)
The remaining 6% of delegates were either undecided or undisclosed.
In the best-case scenario, incorporating projections from undecided and undisclosed respondents, Kennedy Agyapong was the only candidate crossing the 50% threshold, with a potential 53.8%, compared to Dr. Bawumia’s ceiling of 39%.
Regional Trends
Dr. Duah revealed a significant regional shift in delegate support:
Ashanti, Western, Central, and Greater Accra Regions now show stronger leanings toward Kennedy Agyapong, who currently leads in nine regions and could expand to eleven in the best-case model.
Dr. Bawumia maintains dominant control in Northern, North East, and Savannah Regions, reflecting his strong northern bloc base.
Dr. Bryan Acheampong’s support has declined notably in the Eastern Region, which has now tilted toward Dr. Bawumia.The strategist noted that the race remains fluid due to ongoing campaigns and temporal voter sensitivity, adding that the final outcome could depend on undecided delegates and intra-party alliances.
“If the polls were held today, Kennedy Agyapong would lead the NPP primaries with between 44% and 53%, while Dr. Bawumia would follow with 32% to 39%,” Dr. Duah explained.
He further emphasized that while the data provides insights into current political dynamics, “non-response bias and campaign momentum” remain critical variables to watch ahead of the January 2026 primaries.
Credit: Eugene Nyarko Jnr.
